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More than any other factor, Australians blame the government for rising costs.

Voters blame Albanese, not Trump’s war, as cost-of-living pain deepens

The Reserve Bank is tipped to lift interest rates, but voters are likely to blame the Albanese government for the inflation that is forcing the bank’s hand.

  • Shane Wright

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US President Donald Trump.

Trump is holding the world hostage

The globe’s leading central banks, including Australia’s RBA, are meeting this week and face a dilemma they have been desperate to avoid.

  • Stephen Bartholomeusz
Petrol prices have surged, putting more pressure on inflation.

The case for rapid-fire interest rate hikes is hardly watertight

Even though markets and the country’s biggest banks expect back-to-back rate rises, there are good reasons for the RBA to hold fire this week.

  • Clancy Yeates
Residents of Tehran look on as flames and smoke rise from an oil storage facility struck by Israeli troops.

What do war, interest rate rises and oil at $200 a barrel mean? A recession

Economists are predicting two more rate rises in the next eight weeks. But with oil prices climbing, it could also mean an Australian recession.

  • Shane Wright
Home loan rates are forecast to rise after the Reserve Bank meets next week.

Rate hike forecasts surge one week out from RBA meeting

Three of the country’s biggest banks have predicted the Reserve Bank will jack up interest rates in response to ongoing high inflation and the oil price shock.

  • Clancy Yeates
RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser has signalled the bank will debate an interest rate rise at its meeting next week.

Chances of interest rate pain grow on inflation threat

The Reserve Bank’s deputy governor has warned a rate rise as soon as next week may be needed to keep inflation pressures under control.

  • Shane Wright
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President Donald Trump speaks to reporters as War Secretary Pete Hegseth listens while travelling aboard Air Force One to Miami on the weekend.

War is over soon? Markets’ faith in Donald Trump is misplaced

Donald Trump and his War Secretary, Pete Hegseth, have given conflicting accounts of the state of the war in Iran. Who is right matters for markets and economies.

  • Stephen Bartholomeusz
Fire and smoke rise into the sky after an Israeli attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran on Sunday. Oil prices across the globe are expected to climb even further if the war drags on.

Inflation set to climb to three-year highs as oil surges

Prices have climbed at their fastest rate since the 1980s and for every dollar increase in the price of crude, bowser prices lift by a cent.

  • Shane Wright
Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz From February 27 to March 4.

How an oil lifeline became a clogged artery: the Strait of Hormuz

Millions of barrels of oil moved through the Strait of Hormuz every day – until the war in Iran started. Now its role in global inflation is under the microscope.

  • Shane Wright
Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

Sorry folks, this rosy report is as good as it gets this year

Spending, especially among the states, is also growing on everyday services including health, education and policing.

  • Shane Wright