Interest rates
- Analysis
- Australian economy
What do war, interest rate rises and oil at $200 a barrel mean? A recession
Economists are predicting two more rate rises in the next eight weeks. But with oil prices climbing, it could also mean an Australian recession.
- Shane Wright
Latest
- Updated
- World markets
Rate hike forecasts surge one week out from RBA meeting
Three of the country’s biggest banks have predicted the Reserve Bank will jack up interest rates in response to ongoing high inflation and the oil price shock.
- Clancy Yeates
Chances of interest rate pain grow on inflation threat
The Reserve Bank’s deputy governor has warned a rate rise as soon as next week may be needed to keep inflation pressures under control.
- Shane Wright
- Opinion
- Middle East at war
War is over soon? Markets’ faith in Donald Trump is misplaced
Donald Trump and his War Secretary, Pete Hegseth, have given conflicting accounts of the state of the war in Iran. Who is right matters for markets and economies.
- Stephen Bartholomeusz
Inflation set to climb to three-year highs as oil surges
Prices have climbed at their fastest rate since the 1980s and for every dollar increase in the price of crude, bowser prices lift by a cent.
- Shane Wright
How an oil lifeline became a clogged artery: the Strait of Hormuz
Millions of barrels of oil moved through the Strait of Hormuz every day – until the war in Iran started. Now its role in global inflation is under the microscope.
- Shane Wright
- Analysis
- Australian economy
Sorry folks, this rosy report is as good as it gets this year
Spending, especially among the states, is also growing on everyday services including health, education and policing.
- Shane Wright
- Analysis
- Middle East at war
How the Iran war will impact inflation, your overseas holiday – even your morning toast
Just like his tariffs, Donald Trump’s mixed messages on the conflict with Iran will mean upheaval for Australia’s economy.
- Shane Wright
RBA reveals the number of Australians who’d be out of work if it just focused on lowering inflation
Critics have argued inflation would be lower if interest rates had gone higher. The Reserve Bank has an answer to those critics – much higher unemployment.
- Shane Wright
- Exclusive
- Property prices
How property investors are adding to interest rate pressure
The nation’s banking regulator is under pressure to clamp down on loans to investors, amid claims they have contributed to higher interest rates.
- Shane Wright