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Victoria hot seats results as it happened: Early mornings, attack ads, bunny ears and fake tradies: The seemingly never-ending battle for Goldstein

Rachael Dexter, Charlotte Grieve, Clay Lucas and Cara Waters
Updated ,first published
Pinned post from 8.01pm on May 21, 2025
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Early mornings, attack ads, bunny ears and fake tradies: The seemingly never-ending battle for Goldstein

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It was still dark at 7am, one week into the official election campaign when I joined Tim Wilson and Zoe Daniel leafleting at train stations on the Frankston line, just two stops away from each other.

That was seven weeks ago, and only yesterday did we finally get what is almost a resolution in Goldstein.

I split my time between both candidates, catching the train between the stops, watching them try to engage with the early-morning commuters, smiling while pressing flyers into their hands, fielding questions and patting dogs.

Liberal Tim Wilson and independent Zoe Daniel on the campaign trail.Cara Waters

Both were relentlessly upbeat, but Wilson had an extra edge of desperation and determination about him.

He had lost everything in the last election, and nothing could embarrass him.

Wilson gamely flagged down every commuter and didn’t flinch when voters said no to his pamphlets.

What difference did his doggedness make?

When the lead in the tally flipped from Daniel to Wilson, and then almost back again to Daniel again, it must have counted for something.

Tim Wilson and his supporters at this campaign launch in Brighton. Wayne Taylor

Wilson believes Goldstein’s voters admired him for not giving up, and this is what enabled him to claim victory as the ultimate comeback kid. He has spoken of sleepless nights and using his credit card to help finance his campaign.

In 2022, the teals caught him by surprise, but this time around he was prepared, spending two years building a “blue army” of Liberal supporters.

The first glimpse I caught of this army was at Wilson’s campaign launch in the Brighton Town Hall, packed with 600 supporters all wearing blue Tim Wilson T-shirts handed out at the door.

From that day, Wilson set up the campaign as highly personal, comparing Daniel at his launch to “the person in your group assignment who hasn’t done the work but still takes the credit”.

He said Daniel had failed to turn up for the community, describing an empty chair at citizenship ceremonies on Australia Day and on Anzac Day.

Supporters cheer for Zoe Daniel at her campaign launch.Luis Enrique Ascui

Wilson spent two years turning up to community events, insinuating himself as the alternative member for Goldstein, and campaigning on local issues like crime and development, even if they were not in the federal remit.

Daniel’s campaign tried to focus on the bigger picture – hosting “politics at the pub” sessions on economic reform and bringing the conversation back to climate change.

She had her own army of teal-clad volunteers and, at her launch at the Kingston Town Hall, more than 1000 turned up, chanting her name like a rock star, “Zoe, Zoe, Zoe”.

However, this was a seat fought on hyper-local issues and politics of personality.

Zoe Daniel and her son, Arkie, head to the polling booth on May 3.Justin McManus

On election night, Daniel told me the campaign had been “really dirty”.

She was subject to attack ads run by third-party groups, some with links to the Liberal Party, including Australians for Prosperity and Repeal the Teal.

During the campaign she said people screamed at her on the street and she reported harassment and stalking to police after a Facebook post identified her car in a private car park behind her electoral office.

Wilson denied any connection between his campaign and the attack ads or the personal attacks on Daniel.

He declined all invitations to debates and forums during the campaign, apart from a Jewish community forum.

With 7.1 per cent of residents in Goldstein identifying Judaism as their religious affiliation, the candidates’ position on Gaza was galvanising for many voters.

Daniel (left) and Wilson (right) at a Jewish community forum on April 3.Joe Armao

Daniel and Wilson engaged in a fiery debate at the Brighton Hebrew Congregation, where Daniel told attendees: “I will never use your pain for political gain”, while Wilson declared he was a Zionist.

Emotions flared again after anonymous letters were sent to Daniel’s supporters, who had corflutes displayed outside their homes, accusing them of being antisemitic and hating Jews.

Preying on the division in the electorate, far-right agitators turned up at pre-poll voting in Brighton and at the Hampton Primary School polling booth on election day.

Like many in the Liberal Party, Wilson preferenced One Nation as fourth on his how-to-vote cards and Trumpet of Patriots fifth. Trumpet of Patriots candidate Vicki Williams attended his victory press conference and hugged him afterwards.

Both parties spent big on the campaign, with Daniel, who disclosed donations in real time, raising $1.8 million while Wilson estimated his campaign spent $1 million.

Dog merchanise for Zoe Daniel’s election campaign.

The full cost of Wilson’s campaign and the identity of his donors will not be known for months.

There were also lighthearted moments along the campaign trail: the campaign merch which included bedazzled Zoe Daniel hats and dog bandannas, Wilson donning bunny ears to hand out chocolate Easter eggs at the supermarket and Daniel getting an endorsement from everyone’s favourite TV neighbour, Harold Bishop.

There was the morning I went to four Anzac Day ceremonies as the two candidates competed over who could lay the most wreaths.

Who can forget the “fake tradie” – Liberal Party branch secretary and campaign volunteer Frazer Hurst, who posed as a tradie in a Facebook advertisement for Wilson wearing a fluoro vest and hard hat?

He turned up to Wilson’s election night party at the Sandringham Yacht Club wearing the same outfit.

“I wore this especially for you Cara,” he said with a smile.

On election night, it was down to the wire in Goldstein, with Daniel claiming victory in a celebratory speech at her party at the Elwood Bowls Club.

However, Wilson did not concede the seat. He bided his time waiting for the postal votes to come in. They eventually delivered him the seat despite a late swing to Daniel. He won by 128 votes.

Wilson’s win was a rare bright spot for the Liberal Party in what has been a crushing election defeat across Australia.

Wilson pictured with then opposition leader Peter Dutton on election day. Dutton lost his seat later that night.James Brickwood

Wilson has been hailed as the “teal slayer”, a saviour, and briefly as a potential leader of the Liberal Party.

Perhaps more prosaically, he is just one of the last men standing, the Steven Bradbury of the Liberal Party, still on his skates while others tumble around him.

Daniel’s next move is unknown. Will she call for a recount? Will this be the end of politics for her?

Whatever she does next, she has put Goldstein back in play. What was once a guaranteed, blue-ribbon Liberal seat is now one of the most marginal in the country.

Correction: An earlier version of this blog post incorrectly reported that Tim Wilson “wrangled a wreath off” one of Zoe Daniel’s supporters at a 2023 Anzac Day ceremony to lay it himself. The wreath, intended for Daniel or her representative to lay, in fact, was handed to Wilson in her absence and when Daniel’s representative appeared, the two jointly laid the wreath.

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And that’s a wrap...

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That’s a wrap for our “hot seats” blog for the 2025 federal election!

Thank you to Rachael Dexter, Clay Lucas, Charlotte Grieve and Cara Waters for their tireless reporting on the ground in Kooyong, Wills, Bruce, and Goldstein.

We weren’t sure what to expect when Anthony Albanese called the election more than eight weeks ago, and we embarked on this project, closely following the battle in four Victorian seats. There has been high drama, humour and serious revelations. Our team saw and covered it all, breaking news along the way.

Thank you to our readers who have followed the many twists and turns. We’ve appreciated your many comments too.

If there is a recount in Goldstein, we’ll bring you the news on theage.com.au

If you have any more feedback on the blog - what worked, what didn’t, please send us a note below.

Pinned post from 8.01pm on May 21, 2025

Early mornings, attack ads, bunny ears and fake tradies: The seemingly never-ending battle for Goldstein

By

It was still dark at 7am, one week into the official election campaign when I joined Tim Wilson and Zoe Daniel leafleting at train stations on the Frankston line, just two stops away from each other.

That was seven weeks ago, and only yesterday did we finally get what is almost a resolution in Goldstein.

I split my time between both candidates, catching the train between the stops, watching them try to engage with the early-morning commuters, smiling while pressing flyers into their hands, fielding questions and patting dogs.

Liberal Tim Wilson and independent Zoe Daniel on the campaign trail.Cara Waters

Both were relentlessly upbeat, but Wilson had an extra edge of desperation and determination about him.

He had lost everything in the last election, and nothing could embarrass him.

Wilson gamely flagged down every commuter and didn’t flinch when voters said no to his pamphlets.

What difference did his doggedness make?

When the lead in the tally flipped from Daniel to Wilson, and then almost back again to Daniel again, it must have counted for something.

Tim Wilson and his supporters at this campaign launch in Brighton. Wayne Taylor

Wilson believes Goldstein’s voters admired him for not giving up, and this is what enabled him to claim victory as the ultimate comeback kid. He has spoken of sleepless nights and using his credit card to help finance his campaign.

In 2022, the teals caught him by surprise, but this time around he was prepared, spending two years building a “blue army” of Liberal supporters.

The first glimpse I caught of this army was at Wilson’s campaign launch in the Brighton Town Hall, packed with 600 supporters all wearing blue Tim Wilson T-shirts handed out at the door.

From that day, Wilson set up the campaign as highly personal, comparing Daniel at his launch to “the person in your group assignment who hasn’t done the work but still takes the credit”.

He said Daniel had failed to turn up for the community, describing an empty chair at citizenship ceremonies on Australia Day and on Anzac Day.

Supporters cheer for Zoe Daniel at her campaign launch.Luis Enrique Ascui

Wilson spent two years turning up to community events, insinuating himself as the alternative member for Goldstein, and campaigning on local issues like crime and development, even if they were not in the federal remit.

Daniel’s campaign tried to focus on the bigger picture – hosting “politics at the pub” sessions on economic reform and bringing the conversation back to climate change.

She had her own army of teal-clad volunteers and, at her launch at the Kingston Town Hall, more than 1000 turned up, chanting her name like a rock star, “Zoe, Zoe, Zoe”.

However, this was a seat fought on hyper-local issues and politics of personality.

Zoe Daniel and her son, Arkie, head to the polling booth on May 3.Justin McManus

On election night, Daniel told me the campaign had been “really dirty”.

She was subject to attack ads run by third-party groups, some with links to the Liberal Party, including Australians for Prosperity and Repeal the Teal.

During the campaign she said people screamed at her on the street and she reported harassment and stalking to police after a Facebook post identified her car in a private car park behind her electoral office.

Wilson denied any connection between his campaign and the attack ads or the personal attacks on Daniel.

He declined all invitations to debates and forums during the campaign, apart from a Jewish community forum.

With 7.1 per cent of residents in Goldstein identifying Judaism as their religious affiliation, the candidates’ position on Gaza was galvanising for many voters.

Daniel (left) and Wilson (right) at a Jewish community forum on April 3.Joe Armao

Daniel and Wilson engaged in a fiery debate at the Brighton Hebrew Congregation, where Daniel told attendees: “I will never use your pain for political gain”, while Wilson declared he was a Zionist.

Emotions flared again after anonymous letters were sent to Daniel’s supporters, who had corflutes displayed outside their homes, accusing them of being antisemitic and hating Jews.

Preying on the division in the electorate, far-right agitators turned up at pre-poll voting in Brighton and at the Hampton Primary School polling booth on election day.

Like many in the Liberal Party, Wilson preferenced One Nation as fourth on his how-to-vote cards and Trumpet of Patriots fifth. Trumpet of Patriots candidate Vicki Williams attended his victory press conference and hugged him afterwards.

Both parties spent big on the campaign, with Daniel, who disclosed donations in real time, raising $1.8 million while Wilson estimated his campaign spent $1 million.

Dog merchanise for Zoe Daniel’s election campaign.

The full cost of Wilson’s campaign and the identity of his donors will not be known for months.

There were also lighthearted moments along the campaign trail: the campaign merch which included bedazzled Zoe Daniel hats and dog bandannas, Wilson donning bunny ears to hand out chocolate Easter eggs at the supermarket and Daniel getting an endorsement from everyone’s favourite TV neighbour, Harold Bishop.

There was the morning I went to four Anzac Day ceremonies as the two candidates competed over who could lay the most wreaths.

Who can forget the “fake tradie” – Liberal Party branch secretary and campaign volunteer Frazer Hurst, who posed as a tradie in a Facebook advertisement for Wilson wearing a fluoro vest and hard hat?

He turned up to Wilson’s election night party at the Sandringham Yacht Club wearing the same outfit.

“I wore this especially for you Cara,” he said with a smile.

On election night, it was down to the wire in Goldstein, with Daniel claiming victory in a celebratory speech at her party at the Elwood Bowls Club.

However, Wilson did not concede the seat. He bided his time waiting for the postal votes to come in. They eventually delivered him the seat despite a late swing to Daniel. He won by 128 votes.

Wilson’s win was a rare bright spot for the Liberal Party in what has been a crushing election defeat across Australia.

Wilson pictured with then opposition leader Peter Dutton on election day. Dutton lost his seat later that night.James Brickwood

Wilson has been hailed as the “teal slayer”, a saviour, and briefly as a potential leader of the Liberal Party.

Perhaps more prosaically, he is just one of the last men standing, the Steven Bradbury of the Liberal Party, still on his skates while others tumble around him.

Daniel’s next move is unknown. Will she call for a recount? Will this be the end of politics for her?

Whatever she does next, she has put Goldstein back in play. What was once a guaranteed, blue-ribbon Liberal seat is now one of the most marginal in the country.

Correction: An earlier version of this blog post incorrectly reported that Tim Wilson “wrangled a wreath off” one of Zoe Daniel’s supporters at a 2023 Anzac Day ceremony to lay it himself. The wreath, intended for Daniel or her representative to lay, in fact, was handed to Wilson in her absence and when Daniel’s representative appeared, the two jointly laid the wreath.

‘We’ve come this far’: Daniel not yet conceding Goldstein

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Zoe Daniel is not yet conceding Goldstein, even though Tim Wilson won the final count for the seat by a margin of 128 votes.

On the two-candidate preferred count, the Liberal had 58,047 votes compared to the teal independent’s 57,919, with Wilson achieving a 1.68 per cent swing.

Zoe Daniel was looking confident on election night, only for the count to take weeks to yield a result.Penny Stephens

Daniel said counting of first-preference votes, and the indicative two-candidate preferred count, was complete.

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‘Unprecedented. Historic’: Tim Wilson wins Goldstein by 128 votes

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Liberal Tim Wilson has won Goldstein by 128 votes over independent teal Zoe Daniel.

Wilson claimed victory in the seat almost two weeks ago, but Daniel did not concede and since then the margin between the two gradually narrowed.

Tim Wilson claimed victory in Goldstein a fortnight ago, before counting narrowed. Now the AEC has declared him the victor.Paul Jeffers

At the final count on Tuesday, Wilson led by 176 votes with 117 votes to be counted but in the final count Daniel failed to close the margin sufficiently.

Tim Wilson’s margin shrinks to 206 votes. Could there be a recount in Goldstein?

By

Goldstein is going down to the wire with Zoe Daniel closing in on Tim Wilson’s lead.

However, while it seems increasingly unlikely that the teal incumbent will overtake Wilson completely, the narrowing margin raises the question of a recount.

As at 4.30pm on Friday, Wilson had a 206 vote lead over Daniel with 256 votes waiting to be counted. The cut-off for further postal votes to arrive is midnight tonight.

Updated: Zoe Daniel’s hopes hang on the last plane out of Nairobi

By

Updated: This post was updated with the latest numbers and additional analysis at 2.30pm.

For those hanging on the result in Goldstein to see whether Zoe Daniel can claw back Tim Wilson’s lead, the final counting is underway today with midnight tonight the cut-off for postal votes.

The Liberal candidate has a 258 vote margin over the teal incumbent with 470 votes waiting to be processed at 11.30am, but more could land today with the last batch of postal votes coming in.

Evan Ekin-Smyth, spokesman for the Australian Electoral Commission, said on the last day for the receipt of postal votes the numbers are always small and there could be about 100 postal votes that arrive today.

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Zoe Daniel win ‘not impossible but extremely improbable’, says Tim Wilson

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Tim Wilson’s lead over incumbent teal MP Zoe Daniel in Goldstein has now narrowed to less than 300 votes.

At 6pm on Thursday, Wilson led by 292 votes with 738 votes waiting to be counted. More votes will be added if they arrive by post by Friday.

Wilson told The Age on Thursday afternoon that 500 votes had just been counted and he had only lost 11 of those votes.

He said a win by Daniel was “not impossible but extremely improbable”.

‘EXTREME necessity’: Tim Wilson scrambles for scrutineers as Goldstein closes in further

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Tim Wilson is scrambling for more scrutineer volunteers to “knock out” his opponent’s informal votes in Goldstein as the margin between the Liberal candidate and teal incumbent Zoe Daniel continues to narrow.

A text message from Wilson to his supporters on Wednesday says it is an “EXTREME necessity” for scrutineers to be available.

“The sole purpose of scrutineering is to knock out our opponent’s vote. That is what they are doing to us with EXTREME position [sic].”

(Wilson later clarified to The Age that the text message should have read “EXTREME precision”.)

Seat of Flinders called for the Liberal Party’s Zoe McKenzie

By Matt Wade

The Liberal Party’s Zoe McKenzie has won the seat of Flinders in Melbourne’s south-east.

The result was delayed due to uncertainty over the preference count.

But the AEC’s Tally Room website now shows McKenzie leads independent candidate Ben Smith by more than 6000 votes with about 85 per cent of the two-candidate preferred count completed.

Liberal MP for Flinders Zoe McKenzie has held the seat, seeing off a challenge from independent candidate Ben Smith.

McKenzie was first elected to the seat of Flinders in 2022.

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Signs of panic in Tim Wilson’s WhatsApp group as margin closes in Goldstein

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Tim Wilson’s supporters are being mobilised to help as scrutineers as the Liberal candidate’s lead over incumbent teal MP Zoe Daniel narrows further to 368 votes.

Screenshots from Wilson’s WhatsApp group chat – named “Goldstein Blue Tsunami” – leaked to The Age show Wilson claiming that informal votes are being counted for Daniel.

He writes that more Liberal scrutineers are needed to “knock out informal votes that are being counted for the Teals” – something Wilson says he is “extremely good” at but legally prohibited from doing as a candidate in this election. He also warns supporters to prepare for a recount.

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