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Federal election results 2025 as it happened: Liberal Wilson wins back Goldstein from teal Zoe Daniel; Adam Bandt at serious risk of losing seat

Tom Cowie and Daniel Lo Surdo
Updated ,first published
Pinned post from 5.25pm on May 6, 2025
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Liberal Tim Wilson reclaims the seat of Goldstein

By Cara Waters

Tim Wilson has won back his former seat of Goldstein, after building an unassailable lead over Zoe Daniel through a postal vote surge.

The Liberal candidate is ahead of the incumbent teal independent by 734 votes following the latest count update in Goldstein.

It’s a dramatic change in fortunes after Daniel made a victory speech to her supporters on Saturday night when she thought she had won the seat with a lead of 1800 votes.

Wilson did not concede the seat and on election night was already pointing to the possibility that postal votes would swing the seat in his favour.

There were 24,299 postal votes issued in Goldstein, and of these, 13,982 ballot papers have been counted.

There are still 5986 ballot papers awaiting processing, but the postal votes have been going strongly in Wilson’s favour.

Liberal candidate for Goldstein Tim Wilson casts his vote with husband Ryan Bolger.Justin McManus

Both Wilson and Daniel declined interview requests this afternoon as other media outlets called Goldstein for the Liberal Party.

“The margin is tight, and a reminder that it could yet go backward and we just have to be patient,” Wilson said.

“Out of respect for my scrutineers and the democratic process, I will await further counting. With the margin in the hundreds and the remaining votes in the thousands, this seems sensible,” Daniel said when asked for comment.

“Again, I thank all of those who supported me in so many ways during my campaign and with their vote.”

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That’s all for today

By Tom Cowie

Thanks for joining us on the federal election results blog for Tuesday. We had a flurry of calls towards the end of the day that gave us a bit more clarity on some important seats. We will have more for you in our next coverage.

A quick run-down of some of the action:

  • Tim Wilson has made a successful comeback bid in the seat of Goldstein, defeating teal independent Zoe Daniel to become the sole elected Liberal in Melbourne (so far).
  • Peter Khalil has retained Wills in Melbourne’s north for Labor, staving off a huge push from the Greens who saw it as a big chance to get Samantha Ratnam elected.
  • Julie Collins has successfully defended the seat of Franklin in southern Tasmania, completing Labor’s domination of the state.
  • Liberal Gisele Kapterian pulled ahead of teal independent Nicolette Boele in the northern Sydney seat of Bradfield, with the latest count putting her ahead by 178 votes after preferences.
  • Greens leader Adam Bandt is in for a long wait to see if he will hold on to Melbourne, the seat he first won in 2010, with counting still in the early stages.
  • In Kooyong, teal independent Monique Ryan has a lead of around 1000 votes over Liberal Amelia Hamer with another 10,000 ballots still to be processed.

If you want to see a rundown of the seats that are still too close to call, you can do so here.

Have a good night.

Labor wins Franklin to complete Tasmania domination

By Tom Cowie

Labor’s Julie Collins has successfully defended the seat of Franklin in southern Tasmania, holding off a challenge from independent Peter George.

Collins won 39.3 per cent of the primary vote and so far is sitting on a two-party result of 57.2 per cent, as of 5.50pm. That is good enough for us to consider it an ALP retain.

That completes the domination of Tasmania by Labor, which now holds four out of the state’s five seats. The fifth is held by long-time independent Andrew Wilkie.

Pinned post from 5.25pm on May 6, 2025

Liberal Tim Wilson reclaims the seat of Goldstein

By Cara Waters

Tim Wilson has won back his former seat of Goldstein, after building an unassailable lead over Zoe Daniel through a postal vote surge.

The Liberal candidate is ahead of the incumbent teal independent by 734 votes following the latest count update in Goldstein.

It’s a dramatic change in fortunes after Daniel made a victory speech to her supporters on Saturday night when she thought she had won the seat with a lead of 1800 votes.

Wilson did not concede the seat and on election night was already pointing to the possibility that postal votes would swing the seat in his favour.

There were 24,299 postal votes issued in Goldstein, and of these, 13,982 ballot papers have been counted.

There are still 5986 ballot papers awaiting processing, but the postal votes have been going strongly in Wilson’s favour.

Liberal candidate for Goldstein Tim Wilson casts his vote with husband Ryan Bolger.Justin McManus

Both Wilson and Daniel declined interview requests this afternoon as other media outlets called Goldstein for the Liberal Party.

“The margin is tight, and a reminder that it could yet go backward and we just have to be patient,” Wilson said.

“Out of respect for my scrutineers and the democratic process, I will await further counting. With the margin in the hundreds and the remaining votes in the thousands, this seems sensible,” Daniel said when asked for comment.

“Again, I thank all of those who supported me in so many ways during my campaign and with their vote.”

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Liberal Hamer almost conceded Kooyong – now she might win

By Rachael Dexter

Liberal candidate for Kooyong Amelia Hamer thought about picking up the phone and calling incumbent MP Monique Ryan to concede on Saturday night, but was told by her team to hold on for postal votes.

“The first thing I [did was I] actually did speak to the team [and] said, ‘Look, should I call and concede?’,” she told 3AW’s Jacqui Felgate on Tuesday.

Independent Monique Ryan and the Liberals’ Amelia Hamer.The Age

“The team said to me, ‘no, actually, it does look like what’s coming out of pre poll is much more positive’. And, you know, I trust my team and so we hung on.”

And hung on they have. Hamer said she and her team were “cautiously optimistic” but that it was “too close to call anything right now”.

Opinion: ‘What I saw in my old electorate was chilling’

By Christopher Pyne

You can learn a lot by volunteering at polling booths during an election. The people who want to ban how-to-vote cards and the carnival-like atmosphere of polling booths are dead wrong – democracy thrives when people are allowed to express themselves, respectfully, in whatever way they choose.

Just by observing the interactions at the polling booth on election day this year, I knew that the Liberal Party was staring down the barrel of defeat.

Former minister Christopher Pyne is worried for the future of the Liberal Party.Oscar Colman

What I saw in my old electorate of Sturt in Adelaide was chilling. Those taking Liberal how-to-vote cards enthusiastically (as opposed to those taking them out of a sense of politeness) were typically old people and middle-aged men. The contrast with Labor and the Greens was stark: young people and women were bounding up to their volunteers, asking for their cards and ignoring us. We brushed it off, but the results speak for themselves. The Liberal Party’s base is disappearing. Unless the Liberal Party learns the lesson it has been handed by the voters, it will be a permanent party of opposition. That’s bad for democracy.

Tehan firms as kingmaker in Liberal leadership battle

By Paul Sakkal

Liberal Dan Tehan looms as a potential kingmaker in the race between Angus Taylor and Sussan Ley to take on the leadership of the weakened opposition, as MPs lash the party’s pollster for giving Peter Dutton false confidence about the election result.

The leak of internal documents published in this masthead on Tuesday, which revealed that Dutton’s popularity numbers were dire and that strategists urged him to lighten up, triggered public criticism of the party’s contracted pollster, Mike Turner of Freshwater Strategy.

Liberal frontbencher Dan Tehan.Alex Ellinghausen

“We had bad pollsters giving us bad numbers,” Tasmanian senator Jonathon Duniam said on Sky News. “We were let down by pollsters and strategists which frankly gave us a bum steer of the worst order.”

Two Liberal sources said the party secretariat was threatening legal action against Turner. A spokesman for the Liberal Party federal secretariat declined to comment. Freshwater Strategy was contacted for comment.

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Khalil holds Wills after strong Greens challenge

By Adam Carey

Labor’s Peter Khalil has fended off a strong Greens challenge in Wills, a seat north of Melbourne that takes in Brunswick, Coburg and Fawkner.

An update from the AEC published at 2.38pm Tuesday put Khalil in front of challenger Samantha Ratnam with 51.84 per cent of the two-candidate-preferred vote to 48.16 per cent (a lead of 3356 votes).

The Greens, having poured everything into winning Wills, saw Ratnam’s path to victory fade with the update, as Khalil extended his lead.

The minor party’s fading hopes are pinned on almost 10,000 absentee and declaration votes yet to be counted.

‘We’re not concerned about Melbourne’: Greens senator

By Tom Cowie

Adam Bandt is in a close fight in the seat of Melbourne, however the party is confident that the Greens leader will squeak home when counting is finished.

Re-elected Victorian Greens senator Steph Hodgins-May told ABC Radio Melbourne’s Ali Moore this afternoon that she wasn’t concerned about Bandt losing his seat.

The count is progressing slowly, however Bandt is behind in the early stages with Labor’s Sarah Witty currently sitting on 54 per cent of the vote after preferences.

But Hodgins-May said the early votes did not give a clear picture on what the final result would be.

“We did expect that we would see some shifts, given the redistribution that happened,” she said.

“But we’re not concerned about Melbourne. We are quite sure that Adam will retain his seat of Melbourne and continue as the leader of the Greens.”

Why the results in some seats are taking a while

By Matt Wade

The results in 14 federal seats are still too close to call, according to this masthead’s election prediction analysis.

In some cases, this is because the contest is very tight; in the electorate of Bradfield on Sydney’s north shore, for instance, Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian pulled ahead of her rival Nicolette Boele on Tuesday afternoon and is ahead by just 44 votes.

In the Queensland electorate of Longman, Labor’s Rhiannyn Douglas leads the LNP’s Terry Young by only 305 votes.

But in some seats, the progress of the count has been slowed because the two candidates receiving the most first-preference votes turned out to be different to what the Australian Electoral Commission expected before the election. These are called “two-candidate preferred exceptions”.

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Has the quinoa curtain come down for the Greens in Wills?

By Clay Lucas

We haven’t had an update from the count in Wills since Sunday night, but there are some interesting patterns emerging in this once rusted-on Labor seat in Melbourne’s northern suburbs.

As the election campaign got underway, ABC election analyst Antony Green noted that while media coverage concentrated on areas like Brunswick and Coburg, where the demographic shifts have been most pronounced, the electorate went a long way beyond “the quinoa curtain along Bell Street”.

The quinoa curtain is a term long used to describe the cultural and political divide between inner-city Greens’ strongholds south of Bell Street, and Labor’s working-class base north of it.

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