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Rodger Shanahan

Rodger Shanahan

Dr Rodger Shanahan is a Middle East analyst.

Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at the Knesset, Israel’s parliament, in October last year.

Trump and Netanyahu have formed a convenient coalition. But clear divisions are emerging

Tel Aviv is pursuing its own agenda in attacks against Iran, and Washington’s denials about their actions are not plausible.

  • Rodger Shanahan

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Government supporters mourn during a gathering after state TV officially announced the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, shown in the poster, in Tehran, Iran, on Sunday, March 1, 2026.

Trump killed Iran’s leader. It’s doubtful he has ideas beyond that

The US president has sent a call to arms for the Iranian people to rise up against an unpopular regime. But that regime has thrived on the idea of resistance against overwhelming odds.

  • Rodger Shanahan
AFP Commissioner Reece Kershaw, ASIO director-general of security Mike Burgess, Foreign Affairs Minister Penny Wong, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Home Affairs Minister Tony Burke at Parliament House on Tuesday.

The Iran security crisis has brought the Middle East conflict to our shores

Was Iran’s motivation to undermine Australian social cohesion, or did Tehran simply see an opportunity to target Jewish interests.

  • Rodger Shanahan
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Netanyahu never had a plan for when the fighting stops. So how can the war end?

Israel’s lack of a genuine strategy for peace has helped some of its old Western friends, including Australia, to see the Palestine question with new clarity.

  • Rodger Shanahan
Palestinians, including children, line up this week in Gaza City to receive food.

Overkill in Gaza: Penny Wong was right to call out Israel

In an issue as complex as the Israel-Palestine question, it should come as no surprise that Australia and like-minded nations should hold both sides to account.

  • Rodger Shanahan
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, US President Donald Trump and Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Iran’s talking tough after US attack. But the regime has run out of options

With Donald Trump in the White House, Iran’s strategic nuclear ambiguity quickly became a millstone around Tehran’s neck. Now its rulers need a new plan.

  • Rodger Shanahan
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Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Netanyahu knew the lethal risk of striking Iran. But he did it anyway

Only months ago, Donald Trump’s advice was that Iran was not actively pursuing nuclear weapons. Evidently, Israel’s leaders were unconvinced.

  • Rodger Shanahan
Palestinians look at a house targeted by an Israeli army strike in Gaza earlier this month.

Netanyahu’s move to seize Gaza won’t save the hostages, and he knows it

Absent of any realistic post-conflict plan, Israel’s forces will end up occupying Gaza or sections of it without any foreseeable strategic outcome.

  • Rodger Shanahan
Young Arab men celebrate the announcement of the Gaza ceasefire.

This ceasefire is a great win, but Gaza is a war without winners

Neither side in the Israel-Hamas war has emerged a clear winner from the brutal 15-month conflict.

  • Rodger Shanahan

Telling Israel the killing must stop in Gaza is not antisemitic

Israel had every right respond to Hamas, but some of its supporters ignore a critical constraint under international law.

  • Rodger Shanahan