This was published 4 years ago
As it happened: ASX trims losses to 0.1% after unexpected GDP bounce
Summary
- The ASX dropped 1% at the open but trimmed losses to close just 0.1% lower at 7527.1. The major banks and Telstra rose, while the miners and health giants dragged
- The Australian economy expanded by a better-than-expected 0.7% through the three months to June, sharply reducing the chances of the nation recording its second recession in two years. Economists had tipped growth in the quarter of between 0.1% and 0.6%
- Wall Street seesawed overnight before closing slightly weaker with the S&P500 down 0.1%, the Dow Jones down 0.1%, and the Nasdaq flat. US futures improved and were pointing to gains of between 0.2% and 0.3% tonight
- Country airline Regional Express says it will extend the suspension of its domestic air services and the reduction in its regional network until at least October 10. It originally expected to lift its suspension on 12 September
Gerry Harvey’s silence speaks volumes about Frydenberg’s JobKeeper mess
Opinion
The biggest mystery du jour is what prompted retail billionaire Gerry Harvey to repay $6 million of the JobKeeper largesse Harvey Norman received in government payments. Not only is he publicly refusing to talk about it, he is branding as bullies those who push him on the topic.
It should have been an easy answer.
He could have said the company didn’t need it, didn’t deserve it and he felt ethically and morally obliged to hand it back.
Market wrap: GDP data helps ASX improves after poor start
Record economic growth numbers helped push the ASX higher on Wednesday and turned a heavy opening fall into a flat result. The benchmark S&P/ASX closed just 7.8 points lower at 7,527.1 points, a decline of 0.1 per cent. It did fall as much as 1 per cent in the first hour of trading, but gained traction after the GDP data showed 9.6 per cent growth year on year, higher than expected.
This helped push the banks higher, with NAB up 2.2 per cent thanks to an analyst upgrade.
“Overall, the reporting season seems to be pretty good, probably better than expected,” said senior investment advisor at Shaw & Partners, Craig Sidney.
Post-results roadshows had started with senior management teams meeting analysts and brokers. He has noticed some money shifting around the materials sector, and out of retailers and into the re-opening stocks.
ASX pares losses after GDP surprise
The Australian sharemarket fell by as much as 1 per cent at the open, but the banks and Telstra helped the index recover ground after a surprisingly strong second-quarter GDP print.
The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed just 0.1 per cent lower at 7527.1 after falling to an eight-day low of 7462.2.
Wall Street’s lead was weak, with iron ore prices also retreating to drag the miners down.
But strong national accounts data at 11.30am AEST seemed to inspire some confidence in the market, with shareholders gradually returning throughout the afternoon.
The Australian economy expanded by a better-than-expected 0.7 per cent through the three months to June, sharply reducing the chances of the nation recording its second recession in two years. Economists had tipped growth in the quarter of between 0.1 per cent and 0.6 per cent.
Coal miners continue to climb
Australia’s coal miners were trading at post-COVID highs as tight supply continues to keep prices at near-decade highs.
Whitehaven Coal was trading 3.2 per cent higher at $2.61 this afternoon and earlier got as high as $2.66, its best price since early 2020 and taking its gains in 2021 above 60 per cent.
The company is now worth $2.6 billion, having fallen to a low of $860 million at the nadir of the COVID crash last year when demand for energy dried up with the world in lockdown.
Elsewhere, the $1.7 billion New Hope Corporation was trading up 3.9 per cent at $2.14 and got to a peak of $2.15. It too has bounced back strongly from a 2020 low and is now trading near 18-month highs.
Investors, social media cheer detail on Dicker’s cash splash
David Dicker’s candid explanation of why he cashed in $42.2 million worth of shares last week is already somewhat legendary.
At least, it is generating a lot of respect and getting him a bit of a cult following on stock-market social media.
It has also reversed the company’s recent stock sell-down, with Dicker Data shares up 5.9 per cent today to $13.46.
“Did this guy really release a statement saying he sold shares to buy a private jet? Legend,″ wrote one investor on Twitter.
NAB gets top pick from JP Morgan
National Australia Bank is outshining its major rivals today after JP Morgan analyst Andrew Triggs named the lender his clear top pick of the Big Four.
NAB shares were up 1.6 per cent at $28.16 this afternoon and trading well ahead of the Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, and ANZ after JP Morgan lifted the stock to overweight in a post-results season shuffle.
JP Morgan’s new pecking order in its banking coverage is Macquarie Group, NAB, and Bank of Queensland - all of which are rated overweight - while ANZ, Westpac, Bendigo Bank and Commonwealth Bank follow, each with neutral ratings.
ANZ was actually downgraded to neutral based on analyst concerns over the bank’s struggles in the Australian mortgage market.
Dividend season ahead
As the earnings season fades in the rearview, investor attention has now turned to the dividend bounty set to hit their bank accounts.
Bunnings and Kmart owner Wesfarmers leads the list of companies going ex-dividend today, with Bega Cheese, Australian Ethical, Endeavour Group, Southern Cross Media, Mount Gibson, and Iress also trading minus the value of their upcoming payouts.
CSL, nib Holdings, BHP and Invocare go ex-dividend tomorrow.
CommSec’s Global Research Team says most of Australia’s large listed companies will be paying out dividends soon, with 80 per cent of payouts announced to hit shareholder pockets between September 20 and October 8.
Not everyone is picking winners ahead of Crown’s big gamble
Crown Resorts is in the last-chance saloon as far as the regulators are concerned, and boy do they know it based on the rapid turnover at executive and boardroom level.
But it doesn’t mean Crown can’t find some friends in the analyst community.
Its shares may be scraping along around the $9.25 market today but JP Morgan’s Con Carducci this week put a price target of $15 on the stock with property being one of the hidden treasures he spies beneath its pokie dens.
He assigns slightly more value to the property side of the business than its operating casino business with the so-called PropCo given an enterprise value of $5.56 billion based on a sale and leaseback model encompassing the lease out of its casino to a licensed operator - we presume.
IGO target price upgraded
A potential merger with Western Areas Mining is the biggest price driver for IGO shares at the moment, according to analysts from Citi, but management refused to talk about it in yesterday’s conference call with analysts.
Citi’s analysts, led by Harsh Bardia, expect a deal could be earnings dilutive for IGO, but lead to higher cash flows. The full-year results released on Tuesday were a ‘modest miss’ on Citi’s estimates.
However, Citi lifted its target price for IGO by 8 per cent to $9.70 from $9 and retains a ‘neutral’ rating on the stock.
“With Kwinana plant commissioning, we have reduced the discount rate from 7.3 per cent to 5 per cent which, coupled with higher neat-term earnings, drives the group net present value to $10.30 per share (previously $9.50).”
Citi has not changed its revenue forecasts for the next three fiscal years, it is still expecting $650 million in 2021-22 and the declines to $564.7 million and $571.8 million in the following years.
However, it has increased its expected profit and earnings per share. For the current year, it now expects to see earnings per share of 32¢, a 13 per cent increase on earlier estimates, 32.7¢ in 2022-23 and 32.4¢ the next year. This will see the dividend yield rise to 4 per cent.